Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.072541 0.086287 0.101725 0.120320 0.142079 0.166706 0.196662
2025-02-16 0.051141 0.068660 0.090620 0.120042 0.158288 0.206168 0.270484
2025-02-23 0.040293 0.059565 0.085910 0.124267 0.178341 0.251446 0.357285
2025-03-02 0.030925 0.049669 0.077263 0.120370 0.185423 0.279179 0.423565
2025-03-09 0.025287 0.043662 0.072510 0.120398 0.196991 0.313526 0.502573
2025-03-16 0.020729 0.038243 0.067399 0.118530 0.204694 0.342283 0.576020
2025-03-23 0.018040 0.035326 0.065657 0.121513 0.220088 0.384328 0.674834
2025-03-30 0.015280 0.031687 0.061956 0.120352 0.228010 0.414698 0.757618
2025-04-06 0.012831 0.028118 0.057710 0.117388 0.232062 0.438548 0.831529
2025-04-13 0.010729 0.024802 0.053339 0.113389 0.233427 0.457445 0.898338
2025-04-20 0.009609 0.023314 0.052295 0.115652 0.246851 0.499617 1.012099
2025-04-27 0.008531 0.021701 0.050707 0.116510 0.257493 0.537535 1.121700
2025-05-04 0.007515 0.020059 0.048856 0.116675 0.267038 0.575002 1.235926
2025-05-11 0.006734 0.018832 0.047732 0.118278 0.279887 0.620660 1.371950
2025-05-18 0.006239 0.018224 0.047937 0.122919 0.299953 0.683380 1.549836
2025-05-25 0.005340 0.016357 0.044792 0.119175 0.300596 0.704978 1.643242
2025-06-01 0.004760 0.015240 0.043313 0.119230 0.310002 0.746555 1.784168
2025-06-08 0.004174 0.013970 0.041217 0.117386 0.314575 0.777754 1.905252
2025-06-15 0.003855 0.013434 0.040989 0.120342 0.331310 0.838502 2.099568
2025-06-22 0.003423 0.012443 0.039325 0.119192 0.337492 0.875146 2.241641
2025-06-29 0.002987 0.011339 0.037142 0.116256 0.338621 0.899741 2.357609
2025-07-06 0.002580 0.010231 0.034738 0.112293 0.336450 0.915939 2.454831
2025-07-13 0.002389 0.009839 0.034463 0.114535 0.351574 0.977163 2.669756